Intra-host mutation rate of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection during the initial pandemic wave.

SARS-CoV-2 mutation is minimized through a proofreading function encoded by NSP-14. Most estimates of the SARS-CoV-2 mutation rate are derived from population based sequence data. Our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 evolution might be enhanced through analysis of intra-host viral mutation rates in specific populations. Viral genome analysis was performed between paired samples and mutations quantified at allele frequencies (AF) ≥ 0.25, ≥ 0.5 and ≥ 0.75. Mutation rate was determined employing F81 and JC69 evolution models and compared between isolates with (ΔNSP-14) and without (wtNSP-14) non-synonymous mutations in NSP-14 and by patient comorbidity. Forty paired samples with median interval of 13 days [IQR 8.5-20] were analyzed. The estimated mutation rate by F81 modeling was 93.6 (95%CI 90.8-96.4], 40.7 (95%CI 38.9-42.6) and 34.7 (95%CI 33.0-36.4) substitutions/genome/year at AF ≥ 0.25, ≥ 0.5, ≥ 0.75 respectively. Mutation rate in ΔNSP-14 were significantly elevated at AF ≥ 0.25 vs wtNSP-14. Patients with immune comorbidities had higher mutation rate at all allele frequencies. Intra-host SARS-CoV-2 mutation rates are substantially higher than those reported through population analysis. Virus strains with altered NSP-14 have accelerated mutation rate at low AF. Immunosuppressed patients have elevated mutation rate at all AF. Understanding intra-host virus evolution will aid in current and future pandemic modeling.

Alpha to Omicron: Disease Severity and Clinical Outcomes of Major SARS-CoV-2 Variants.

BACKGROUND: Four SARS-CoV-2 variants predominated in the United States since 2021. Understanding disease severity related to different SARS-CoV-2 variants remains limited. METHOD: Viral genome analysis was performed on SARS-CoV-2 clinical isolates circulating March 2021 through March, 2022 in Cleveland, Ohio. Major variants were correlated with disease severity and patient outcomes. RESULTS: 2779 patients identified with either alpha (N = 1153), gamma (N = 122), delta (N = 808) or omicron variants (N = 696) were selected for analysis. No difference in frequency of hospitalization, ICU admission, and death were found among alpha, gamma, and delta variants. However, patients with omicron infection were significantly less likely to be admitted to the hospital, require oxygen, or admission to the ICU (X2 = 12.8 p < 0.001, X2 = 21.6 p < 0.002, X2 = 9.6 p = 0.01, respectively). In patients whose vaccination status was known, a substantial number had breakthrough infections with delta or omicron variants (218/808 [26.9%] and 513/696 [73.7%], respectively). In breakthrough infections, hospitalization rate was similar regardless of variant by multivariate analysis. No difference in disease severity was identified between omicron sub-variants BA.1 and BA.2. CONCLUSIONS: Disease severity associated with alpha, gamma, and delta variants is comparable while omicron infections are significantly less severe. Breakthrough disease is significantly more common in patients with omicron infection.